Оглавление экономика 6
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ЭКОНОМИКА
Газета “Financial Times” (Великобритания) (26/11/2008) «$10BN CRISIS PLAN FOR KAZAKHSTAN»
News Digest
$10bn crisis plan for Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan agreed yesterday to a $10bn crisis plan aimed at protecting its economy. The plan is funded largely by a national fund of surplus oil revenue harvested this year when the price of crude hit a record. Under the plan, $4bn (.2.6bn) will go to the country’s four main banks in exchange for the state receiving a 25 per cent stake in each. Another $3bn will go to the construction sector. The rest will be spent on small business and infrastructure. AFP, Kazakhstan
Газета «Financial Times», 24.11.2008, by Isabel GORST in Ashkabad, KAZAKHSTAN UNVEILS $21BN RESCUE PACKAGE
Kazakhstan has unveiled a $21bn (€16.3bn, £13.9bn) rescue package to help soften the impact of the global financial crisis on the economy and buoy growth even as world oil prices fall.
The package, equivalent to 20 per cent of the oil-rich central Asian country’s GDP, includes emergency funding for the banking, property and agricultural sectors and small and medium sized businesses.
It would “allow Kazakhstan to emerge from the global economic crisis with a revitalised, stronger and competitive economy”, Karim Massimov, the Kazakh prime minister, told a meeting of parliamentarians on Monday.
“Our country is part of the global economic system and if the system is feverish then our temperature will also rise.”
Nursultan Nazarbayev, Kazakhstan’s president, last month gave the government ”carte blanche” to take “non-standard” measures to stabilise the economy and authorised use of the national oil fund – a reserve of windfall oil profits – to fund the emergency programme.
Kazakhstan has been suffering a credit crunch since the US subprime mortgage crisis erupted last year stranding its banks with $40bn of foreign debts.
Falling oil prices have exacerbated the crisis posing “huge risks” for the economy, the finance ministry warned last week.
The government has lowered its forecast for economic growth this year to 3 per cent from an earlier 5 per cent and anticipates growth of no more than 5 per cent next year.
“We have got to forget about the time when oil prices were high,” Mr Massimov said.
He added that at least $4bn was required to stabilse the banking system and boost lending to the real economy.
Kazakhstan’s four leading banks have agreed to sell up to 25 per cent of their equity to the government, in a scheme modeled on recent US and UK bank bail-outs.
A $1bn distressed asset fund has been created to mop up bad bank loans.
Some $3bn will support to the debt-laden construction industry and real estate where a property bubble has burst.
Agriculture, already subsidised by the state, will receive an extra $1bn to boost production and stave off food price inflation. Struggling small businesses will also receive a $1bn cash injection.
Another $1bn will be invested in electricity, oil and transport projects to boost employment in the fute future and provide foundation for future economic growth.
The rescue plan has been devised by the government in partnership with the National Bank and the financial supervisory agency.
Газета «The Boston Globe» (США), 25.11.2008
Almaty, Kazakhstan – Kazakhstan’s government approved a $10 billion financial rescue package that will lead the oil-rich country out of economic crisis over the next two years. The global financial crisis has put a severe liquidity squeeze on the Central Asian nation and sharply reduced income from oil exports, forcing authorities to draw up ambitious plans to revive the economy.
Газета «Le Figaro» (Франция) (25/11/2008) «CRISE: LE KAZAKHSTAN ADOPTE UN PLAN»
Журнал «The Forbes» (США), November 26, 2008, By Guy FAULCONBRIDGE and Robin PAXTON, WRAPUP 1-KAZAKHSTAN, RUSSIA TO BOOST URANIUM DESPITE CRISIS
Kazakhstan and Russia, which jointly control one-quarter of the world's recoverable uranium resources, will raise output next year and see uranium demand remaining high due to surging demand for nuclear power in Asia.
Kazakhstan's state nuclear producer plans to boost uranium output to 11,900-12,000 tonnes in 2009 from about 8,600 tonnes this year, Kazatomprom Vice-President Sergei Yashin told Reuters in an interview on Wednesday.
Russian state uranium miner Atomredmetzoloto (ARMZ) plans to raise output to 4,300 tonnes in 2009 from 3,880 tonnes this year, General Director Vadim Zhivov said in a separate interview. A small part of Russia's output will be from its joint ventures in Kazakhstan.
The figures mean Russia and Kazakhstan jointly would exceed the peak of the Soviet Union's uranium output, which spiked at about 13,000 tonnes, officials said.
'It doesn't matter if oil prices are high or low. The swiftly developing nations in Asia -- China and India -- are seeking to boost nuclear power, and Japan is too,' Kazatomprom's Yashin said in an interview in Moscow.
'For those Asian countries, developing nuclear power is a high priority and the price of oil, gas, coal or whatever will not significantly change that,' he said.
'The Asian countries are the drivers behind the rise in demand and that demand will only rise in the future.'
There is growing interest in Kazakhstan and Russia, which have ambitious plans to boost uranium production further, from from major world players, including France's Areva, Japan's Toshiba Corp, Canada's Cameco Corp and BHP Billiton.
Kazakhstan wants to boost output to 27,000 tonnes by 2015-16 while Russia is seeking to boost output to 20,000 tonnes by 2024-2025.
URANIUM MARKET
Uranium weekly spot prices dropped to $44 per lb on Oct. 21, the lowest level since May 2006 and after reaching a record $136 in June 2007, as funds cut holdings amid concerns the global crisis could damped demand for nuclear power.
Yashin said spot prices were highly speculative but prices could rebound to about $65 per lb by year-end, from about $55 at present.
'We have a good prediction for the price -- the rest is speculation. But we are convinced the long-term balance between demand and supply will allow us to develop,' ARMZ's Zhivov said.
Australia has the world's largest known recoverable resources of uranium, controlling about 23 percent, according to the World Nuclear Association (www.world-nuclear.org), followed by Kazakhstan with 15 percent and Russia with 10 percent.
South Africa and Canada are in fourth and fifth place with about 8 percent each, World Nuclear Association data shows.
Kazakhstan has resources of about 1.6 million tonnes, according to Yashin. Russian state nuclear company Atomenergoprom, which unites the country's civilian nuclear assets, sees Russian uranium resources at about 545,600 tonnes.
ARMZ plans to spend 203.6 billion roubles ($7.4 billion) by 2015 to fund expansion, Zhivov said, adding it would seek external financing from banks and team up with strategic partners to develop new deposits.
The firm is participating in joint ventures with Cameco and Japan's Mitsui & Co to develop Russia's reserves.
Zhivov said Rosnedra, the division of the Natural Resources Ministry that governs mining licences, would distribute new licences next year for ARMZ's joint venture with Cameco.