![](images/doc.gif)
464,01
–15,17
–14,32
3
512,32
–16,53
–15,36
434,58
–13,85
–12,68
455,2
–14,56
–13,39
485,42
–15,6
–14,43
4
534,04
–16,97
–15,47
449,44
–14,05
–12,56
470,55
–14,78
–13,29
501,65
–15,85
–14,36
5
550,35
–17,22
–15,41
465,09
–14,28
–12,47
488,91
–15,1
–13,29
522,54
–16,26
–14,45
6
570,66
–17,61
–15,48
482,41
–14,57
–12,43
503,47
–15,29
–13,16
537,38
–16,46
–14,33
Рисунок 6
Польша
Таблица 14
1989:4–2002:3 | 1989:4–1998:4 | |
LnY | –5,584272* | –5,565165* |
LnM | –5,746918* | –9,854668* |
LnH | –2,820168 | –7,163593* |
ΔlnH | –8,809038* | – |
LnM0 | –5,803341* | –7,798593* |
LnP | –6,358124* | –6,710390* |
DER | –6,393437* | –4,285492 |
LnRER | –4,947379* | –4,350218* |
Таблица 15
lnM | lnH | lnM0 | |||||||
LR | AIC | SC | LR | AIC | SC | LR | AIC | SC | |
1 | 258,528 | –9,7411 | –9,1675 | 287,932 | –11,14 | –10,561 | 264,703 | –9,9881 | –9,4145 |
2 | 323,734 | –12,234 | –11,307 | 297,671 | –11,403 | –10,467 | 326,853 | –12,361 | –11,435 |
3 | 342,477 | –12,895 | –11,608 | 318,498 | –12,149 | –10,85 | 339,573 | –12,774 | –11,487 |
4 | 380,99 | –14,425 | –12,772 | 345,852 | –13,211 | –11,541 | 376,301 | –14,226 | –12,572 |
Рисунок 7
Таблица 16
lnM | lnH | lnM0 | |||||||
1 | 185,278 | –9,4599 | –8,8001 | 188,415 | –9,6341 | –8,9743 | 190,734 | –9,763 | –9,1032 |
2 | 234,362 | –12,021 | –10,954 | 241,584 | –12,433 | –11,367 | 239,439 | –12,311 | –11,244 |
3 | 242,812 | –12,342 | –10,86 | 248,174 | –12,657 | –11,176 | 244,911 | –12,465 | –10,984 |
4 | 270,919 | –13,874 | –11,969 | 268,168 | –13,707 | –11,803 | 275,77 | –14,168 | –12,263 |
Рисунок 8
Казахстан
Таблица 17
1995:1– 2002:4 | |
lnY | –1,820234 |
ΔlnY | –2,637373 |
lnH | –2,861127 |
ΔlnH | –3,965163 |
LnM0 | –2,938604 |
ΔlnM0 | –3,321621 |
LnM | –3,218421 |
ΔlnM | –3,070767 |
lnP | –2,430482 |
ΔlnP | –4,705977 |
DER | –3,072335 |
lnRER | –2,415987 |
ΔlnRER | –3,465978 |
Таблица 18
Собственные значения | Likelihood Ratio | Критическое значение (5а%) | Критическое значение (1а%) | Предположительное число КС |
lnY – lnH – lnP | ![]() |