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59,1400

-24,7971

1,7006

3,0610

20

0,8183

0,6671

260,8588

39,8132

-27,6955

6,6355

3,4232

21

0,7882

0,6184

211,1093

38,0055

-24,7917

4,4061

3,4812

22

0,8233

0,6753

270,6728

40,3855

-28,2198

7,1804

3,3135

23

0,8317

0,6894

288,7392

42,9451

-29,1227

7,4353

3,2421

24

0,8285

0,6840

281,6506

41,5372

-28,7934

7,9018

3,1906

25

0,8249

0,6780

274,0093

39,5946

-28,4320

8,0279

3,3102

Therefore, the ranking of the objects underobservation (regions of Russia in 1995 through 1999) as concerns the degree ofregional investment activity set by their>

Table 4.4 displays values of the index ofinvestment activity in accordance with these three functions.

Visualdifferences of the three indices we have built are insignificant. Moreover,mean-squared deviation of one index from another make 2,3825 for φ4 andφ14. At the same time the deviation of the third index from first twoare rather significant. In this case the mean-squared deviation of one indexfrom another make: 12,5595 for φ4 and φ5, and12,2911 for φ14 and φ5. In casethe objects are ranked in accordance with indices set by the functions we havebuilt, the mean deviation in object numbers set by φ4 andφ14 is equal to 15,2; φ4 and φ5 makes16,5; φ14 and φ5 is 5,7. In the first case 16 objectshave the same position; in the second case 16; in the third case 41. Only 6 of390 objects keep their positions in all three rankings. In this case thesensitivity of the indicator to measurement errors is even higher than in thepreceding case. It might be expected proceeding from the fact that statisticalcharacteristics of the built indicators in this case are worse.

4.1.3. Indicator of the regional economicpotential

The information collected across the regionsof Russia (excluding the Chechen and Ingush Republics, and autonomous entitieswithin larger regions) in 1997 through 1999 was used as initial data.Therefore, we have 237 objects, which in terms of the degree of investmentactivity are characterized by three indicators, i.e. N = 237, n = 3.

Using the algorithm described in paragraph1.2, let us build the function of the index of regional economic potentialmeeting the >

φ2 = 0,8306 + 0,9666GRP + 0,0917UL - 0,0816FI;

φ3 = - 3,1379 +0,8989GRP + 0,1620UL + 0,1953FI;

φ4 = - 2,0880 +0,7847GRP + 0,0845UL + 0,2980FI;

φ5 = - 4,0701 +0,8721GRP + 0,2144UL + 0,2224FI;

φ6 = - 3,4075 +0,8737GRP + 0,1749UL + 0,2193FI;

φ7 = - 2,6960 +0,8063GRP + 0,1237UL + 0,2796FI;

φ8 = - 3,1392 +0,8555GRP + 0,1565UL + 0,2354FI;

φ9 = - 2,9948 +0,8363GRP + 0,1454UL + 0,2527FI;

φ10 = - 2,7956 +0,8201GRP + 0,1314UL + 0,2671FI;

φ11 = - 3,4061 +0,8392GRP + 0,1704UL + 0,2511FI;

φ12 = - 2,5889 +0,8523GRP + 0,1231UL + 0,2368FI;

φ13 = - 2,8553 +0,8420GRP + 0,1378UL + 0,2471FI;

φ14 = - 3,1114 +0,8291GRP + 0,1515UL + 0,2597FI;

φ15 = - 3,1287 +0,8162GRP + 0,1508UL + 0,2717FI;

φ16 = - 3,0768 +0,8107GRP + 0,1470UL + 0,2766FI;

φ17 = - 3,3985 +0,8320GRP + 0,1690UL + 0,2577FI;

φ18 = - 3,0247 +0,8439GRP + 0,1482UL + 0,2458FI;

φ19 = - 2,8067 +0,8418GRP + 0,1348UL + 0,2471FI;

φ20 = - 2,6631 +0,8410GRP + 0,1261UL + 0,2475FI;

φ21 = - 2,6909 +0,8288GRP + 0,1262UL + 0,2588FI;

φ22 = - 2,6483 +0,8164GRP + 0,1221UL + 0,2702FI;

φ23 = - 2,7032 +0,8109GRP + 0,1247UL + 0,2754FI;

φ24 = - 2,9249 +0,8133GRP + 0,1383UL + 0,2737FI;

φ25 = - 2,9267 +0,8053GRP + 0,1374UL + 0,2812FI.

For statistical characteristics ofrespective regression see Table 4.5.

Table 4.5.

Number of clusters	Multiple R	Adjusted R2	F-statistics	t-statistics
1	GRP	UL	FI
2	0,8798	0,7712	266,0895	12,3324	28,1867	1,2663	-1,6405
3	0,8629	0,7414	226,4877	0,3509	25,5653	2,1826	3,8285
4	0,8597	0,7358	220,0731	-1,2568	24,6768	1,2590	6,4591
5	0,8689	0,7518	239,3210	-5,3624	26,0216	3,0303	4,5742
6	0,8995	0,8067	329,2361	-0,3286	30,6452	2,9065	5,3013
7	0,9189	0,8423	421,2131	-0,9546	34,2469	2,4886	8,1857
8	0,9210	0,8463	434,0503	-4,2370	35,1059	3,0427	6,6572
9	0,9238	0,8515	451,9910	-5,5026	35,6961	2,9403	7,4340
10	0,9262	0,8559	468,3976	-5,6976	36,2304	2,7502	8,1334
11	0,9217	0,8477	438,7825	-7,3124	35,1136	3,3779	7,2403
12	0,9191	0,8428	422,7225	-7,7889	34,7174	2,3765	6,6487
13	0,9174	0,8396	412,6785	-8,6715	34,1793	2,6497	6,9134
14	0,9255	0,8547	463,6944	-8,4441	36,0675	3,1216	7,7858
15	0,9269	0,8572	473,3624	-8,7344	36,3138	3,1797	8,3310
16	0,9351	0,8727	540,3699	-7,9430	38,7520	3,3299	9,1116
17	0,9346	0,8718	535,8777	-9,0591	38,7370	3,7284	8,2697
18	0,9330	0,8688	521,7337	-9,4626	38,4134	3,1953	7,7110
19	0,9367	0,8758	555,5127	-7,2433	39,6637	3,0101	8,0266
20	0,9341	0,8709	531,8900	-7,6288	38,8328	2,7595	7,8757
21	0,9351	0,8729	541,1534	-7,9227	39,0509	2,8172	8,4051
22	0,9355	0,8736	544,5075	-8,1171	39,0559	2,7676 Pages:     | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |   ...   | 17 |    Книги по разным темам